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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Trade Ideas for 01/30/09

While I thought it was unlikely that we'd get much higher before a pullback, it would've been nice if the sellers eased up a little and gave us a mild consolidation day. Instead, we got a furious sell-off, and tomorrow looks like it's do-or-die for this budding rally, simply because there's not much room on the downside!

What's encouraging is that the Nasdaq's pullback did fit the "mild consolidation" bill—it closed above support—and we did have three up days in a row before this pullback. So let's see if the bulls will only let it be a one-day thing. If not, time to get defensive and seriously consider the possibility of imminent new lows (depending on how much lower the market closes).

No new holdings, and by Friday's close we will have to sell BEAV because it reports earnings on Monday. A real shame because this chart looks like it has great potential. In fact I had it at the top of my preliminary list for tomorrow, but earnings risk is simply too high.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Additional Exit Guideline Chart
BEAV 9.07 9.87 +8.8% 9.56 Close position by end of day Chart
AAPL 90.01 93.00 +3.3% 89.73 Consider selling on a close < 92.60 Chart
ICO 2.53 2.62 +3.6% 2.45 Consider selling on a close < 2.57 Chart
IVN 3.01 2.82 -6.3% 2.59 Consider selling on a close < 2.81 Chart
TWC 18.93 19.32 +2.1% 18.79 Consider selling on a close < 19.05 Chart


For tomorrow, let's stick with strength, Nasdaq stocks.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
QQQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) 30.66 29.47 N/A Chart
EXPE (Expedia) 9.44 8.91 8.60 Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

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