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Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Trade Ideas for 03/11/09

Great follow-through today, and it appears that an uptrend has begun. The price action, the volume, and the way that pullbacks were bought with little hesitation, all point to a notable change in sentiment. At this point, the uptrend is for trading only; the bottom put in last week will probably not hold. Nevertheless, a trip to, say, S&P 800 (a 10% gain from here) is nothing to sneeze at. Ideally for the bull case, tomorrow we pull back (maybe after a gap up) and as a result get some useable setups for Thursday.

We were stopped out of QID today, and bought ITU. UYG gapped up above the buy price, but touched within a couple cents. I'm including it in the table, using the day's low as the entry price, in case anyone bought it.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Additional Exit Guideline Chart
SWKS 6.61 7.56 +14.4% 6.85 Consider selling a portion at market open Chart
PM 33.73 34.05 +0.9% 33.35 N/A Chart
ITU 9.66 9.91 +2.6% 9.38 N/A Chart
DXO 2.51 2.41 -4.0% 1.91 Consider selling on a close < 2.22 Chart
UYG 1.65 1.89 +14.5% 1.64 N/A Chart


I'd be wary of a gap up in the first hour of trading tomorrow. I'd reduce the number of shares purchased for any buys during that time.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
JBHT (JB Hunt) 19.71 18.99 18.45 Chart
BMC (BMC Software) 29.01 28.34 N/A Chart
PCX (Patriot Coal) 3.31 2.92 N/A Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

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