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Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Trade Ideas for 10/14/09

We got a pullback today, but it was bought back, keeping losses across the major averages small. In the recent past, these mini-pullbacks have been about as much of a dip as the market allows before going on to higher highs:

After hours, the market has already gone on to new recovery highs. We'll see if this bleeds over into tomorrow's session; if it does, we can use today's lows as the sell-stop for our remaining longs. We sold RBY today for a small profit and bought SRS.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Addl Exit Guideline Chart
SRS 10.03 9.91 -1.2% 9.39 N/A Chart
SSO 32.68 35.50 +8.6% 34.74 Set sell-stop to 34.99 on a gap up open Chart
DGP 23.06 25.46 +10.4% 24.49 Set sell-stop to 25.10 on a gap up open Chart
FXP 9.01 8.85 -1.8% 8.75 N/A Chart


Beware of a gap up open tomorrow (hinted at by after-hours action). In such a scenario, wait 30-45 minutes after the market open before taking on new longs.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
PCX (Patriot Coal) 13.46 12.41 N/A Chart
MPG (Maguire Properties) 2.46 2.24 N/A Chart
QID (Ultrashort QQQQ) 23.11 22.23 N/A Chart
SDS (Ultrashort S&P 500) 39.89 38.41 N/A Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

What's your take on Oil. I went short and got burnt. I am thinking of staying away from commodities.

Chris said...

oil has a bit of a parabolic look to it.
hard for this system to go long or short until further action. if i had to choose, i'd choose short, but a short setup (like SCO entry 15.41, exit 14.45) does not have an acceptable risk/reward ratio as of today.
sorry to hear that you got burnt; i feel your pain with today's open in FXP.