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Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Trade Idea for 11/04/09

Something of a consolidation day today as markets traded in a narrow range. There's still room for the market to break out in either direction. Most likely, participants are awaiting tomorrow's FOMC announcement, which will occur at 2:15 PM ET.

We bought WX and ICO today.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Addl Exit Guideline Chart
TWM 27.58 31.23 +13.2% 26.99 Alternate sell-stop: 31.15 Chart
DUG 12.33 13.14 +6.6% 12.99 N/A Chart
SDS 38.78 40.63 +4.8% 39.99 N/A Chart
QID 22.51 23.82 +5.8% 23.45 N/A Chart
CEF 13.46 14.02 +4.2% 13.49 N/A Chart
WX 13.34 13.45 +0.8% 12.66 N/A Chart
ICO 4.36 4.46 +2.3% 3.99 N/A Chart


We now have a few long positions in case the market moves up from here. So far the move up from yesterday's low has been choppy, but this can change post-Fed announcement. The real risk is if the market should move down from here, and thus tomorrow's idea is a short.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
DXD (Ultrashort Dow 30) 34.91 34.11 N/A Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

2 comments:

MC said...

Why do you keep your sell-stop on TWM so low. Is it because its a short and is being used to hedge against the rest of your positions? I don't think that can be correct though because a number of your positions are short.

Chris said...

You can use the alternate sell-stop.
We're going to see if TWM can be held as trending, (see prior posts)
Targeting the end of the long-term downtrend that may or may not have begun.