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Monday, September 28, 2009

Trade Ideas for 09/29/09

The bounce that looked likely Friday materialized after all, and in a big way. The market appears well on its way to making new highs. This is by no means a certainty; with the lowest volume in weeks, today's action is suspect. Nevertheless, it's hard to ignore how fast and far this latest upsurge has come.

We bought SSO today. If you sold partials in the short positions, so far so good; consider re-entering those positions on a break of Friday's high, risking to today's low (e.g., buy SRS 10.41, risk to 9.19). For existing short positions, let the market stop you out of them.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Addl Exit Guideline Chart
FXP 8.96 9.56 +6.7% 8.96 (or whichever price is breakeven) N/A Chart
SRS 9.56 9.24 -3.3% 8.71 N/A Chart
DUG 14.31 14.31 0 13.71 N/A Chart
SKF 25.11 24.48 -2.5% 23.58 N/A Chart
QID 23.17 22.85 -1.4% 22.06 N/A Chart
TWM 28.06 27.75 -1.1% 26.65 N/A Chart
SSO 34.16 34.73 +1.7% 33.33 N/A Chart


If the market breaks below Friday's low, look for more downside. Otherwise, chances are we're headed for another recovery high. As before, FXP is a re-up; if elected, set sell-stop on all positions to 9.44.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
UNG (US Natural Gas Fund) 12.04 11.67 N/A Chart
JASO (JA Solar) 4.22 3.92 N/A Chart
FXP (Ultrashort Xinhua 25) 9.86 9.44 N/A Chart
GLL (Ultrashort Gold) 13.21 12.92 N/A Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Chrib's,

Always waiting to check your post. What to do you think of silver. I am looking to buy ZSL with tight sell stop.

Thanks

Chris said...

ZSL and GLL should move the same way. It was a toss-up between these two as far as the ideas go. For ZSL my entry/exit would be 5.91/5.62