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Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Trade Ideas for 12/30/09

The market was mildly down after a week of up days. Probably just taking a breather before resuming the upward trek, but please don't take that as a guarantee. A wide-ranging down day could happen at any point to change the dynamic. The chart of the gold ETF GLD is the analogue I'm using:


If this is a valid comparison, we're in the circled blue area, and after the pullback finishes we could see a 5th wave up to the peak. Time frame of ~1 week if simple, 2-3 weeks if extended. We sold DEI and URE for profits and bought IVAN.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Addl Exit Guideline Chart
AONE 16.81 22.46 +33.6% 20.99 N/A Chart
VVUS 8.76 9.28 +5.9% 8.99 N/A Chart
FMC 57.01 56.60 -0.7% 56.19 N/A Chart
FST 19.61 23.48 +19.7% 23.16 N/A Chart
CBG 12.31 13.80 +12.1% 13.47 N/A Chart
IVAN 2.74 3.03 +10.6% 2.74 N/A Chart
SBGI 3.81 4.41 +15.7% 4.18 N/A Chart
DDR 9.34 9.32 -0.2% 9.15 N/A Chart
CPST 1.30 1.29 -0.8% 1.22 N/A Chart
GOLD 80.64 80.44 -0.2% 79.27 N/A Chart
VMW 43.01 42.86 -0.3% 42.10 N/A Chart
SOLF 7.71 7.84 +1.7% 7.49 N/A Chart


Among tomorrow's ideas is a short, just in case the scenario doesn't unfold like the GLD analogue.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
NM (Navios Maritime) 6.28 6.05 N/A Chart
ASH (Ashland) 39.92 39.36 N/A Chart
GRS (Gammon Gold) 11.29 10.88 N/A Chart
TWM (Ultrashort Russell 2000) 24.78 24.33 N/A Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

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