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Monday, September 8, 2008

Trade Idea for 9/9/08

Neither the bears nor the bulls are willing to concede, and we continue to get gap opens that then get faded. The difference between today and the first of the month is that the bulls mounted a comeback today to close near the highs. Meanwhile, if the current environment has taught us anything, it's not to get too exposed to either the long or short side! And while some charts are looking better than before, the trend on the daily and weekly charts still points down, and that's what we have to go by.

If this rally ends up being more than a countertrend reaction, we will get stopped out of SDS; meanwhile the other holdings are holding up.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Additional Exit Guideline Chart
LYV 16.63 16.17 +2.8% 15.47 Hold - chart's looking better Chart
BPOP 7.67 16.17 +15.8% 7.99 Consider booking ~25% profit near the 200-day moving average of 9.70 Chart
SDS 67.81 16.17 +-1.7% 63.14 Consider selling on a close < 65.31 Chart


As mentioned earlier, charts are looking more constructive, although they aren't setting up the way I trade. DZZ's bullflag is still intact, however.

Trade Ideas for 9/9/08
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
DZZ (Gold Double Short ETN) 35.91 33.99 31.95 Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

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