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Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Trade Idea for 11/20/08

Serious distribution today as fresh lows were made in the S&P and NASDAQ. Early on, and out of nowhere, gold surged in a major way, stopping us into a position in GLD, only to fade just as quickly. This was one of the most perplexing technical events of the day, and while it's infuriating, gold actually put in a relatively strong day.

Tomorrow promises to be another wild and woolly Thursday. The indices are at such a point that the risk/reward ratios for going either long or short don't make sense for position trading. It could be a bonanza for traders who are quick and can get in and out of positions within a short period of time, however.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Additional Exit Guideline Chart
GLD 74.27 72.26 -2.7% 68.79 Consider selling on a close < 72.00 Chart


My idea for tomorrow is a chart that has held up surprisingly well. Nevertheless, it's not a time to be risking a lot.

Trade Ideas for 11/20/08
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
LNG (Cheniere Energy) 3.12 2.49 Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Chrib, could you post a new updated chart of your count and your Mom's count and where you think the index's are heading too and projected possible turn to upside when this wave 3 ends. Thanks.

Chris said...

I'll ask her if she can put one together. I'd be interested to see that, too.

Chris said...

Also, her chart doesn't show us in Wave 3, but rather in the corrective waves (either A or B at this point). Indices heading to 0. If her count is correct, there won't be a return to upside after the corrective waves end (20-100 years from now) because there won't be a stock market. However there will be temporary surges within the correction itself, where temporary could mean quite a long time (months to years).