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Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Trade Ideas for 06/24/09

Narrow range consolidation today to follow yesterday's drop. The chart of the S&P now features a golden cross, the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day, but with the cross and both averages above today's high, it might have occurred under more auspicious circumstances.

Having now closed twice consecutively below the 50-day moving average (without having closed once below since late March), I'm going to continue looking for more bearishness in this market.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Add'l Exit Guideline Chart
DUG 16.54 19.67 +18.9% 18.62 N/A Chart
SCC 61.84 67.70 +9.5% 62.62 N/A Chart
QID 32.81 34.59 +5.4% 32.19 N/A Chart
SMN 19.86 20.65 +4.0% 19.49 N/A Chart
SRS 21.51 21.84 +1.5% 20.12 N/A Chart


Some more short-biased ideas for tomorrow. At 2:15 PM ET, the Fed is expected to make its decision on short-term interest rates and general remarks on the economy. We might have a very slow day until that announcement is made.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
VXX (VIX Short-Term Futures ETN) 80.28 77.16 75.49 Chart
SKF (Ultrashort Financials) 46.62 44.57 41.59 Chart
SCO (Ultrashort Crude Oil) 18.76 17.21 N/A Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

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