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Monday, August 24, 2009

Trade Ideas for 08/25/09

Was that the top? Today's candle featured a negative close with a good-sized upper shadow, and such a formation after a strong run-up often indicates reversal (to some degree or another). But this market has shown great resilience and may go for another push higher.

Tough call on whether or not to include PAL in our current holdings, as it gapped up and ran pretty substantially at the open (over 10% above the buy stop) before falling. I'm going to err on the side of inclusiveness and just add it.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Addl Exit Guideline Chart
GS 160.91 162.58 +1.0% 157.99 Consider selling some or all at the open, or use tomorrow's idea SKF to hedge Chart
FXP 10.04 10.31 +2.6% 9.65 N/A Chart
SRZ 2.19 2.15 -1.8% 1.98 N/A Chart
PAL 2.97 2.88 -3.0% 2.81 N/A Chart


Even if the general market hasn't turned over yet, some sectors look like they're done: China, for example, which we have covered with FXP. Tomorrow's ideas are all shorts along these lines.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
SRS (Ultrashort Real Estate) 12.13 11.37 N/A Chart
QID (Ultrashort QQQQ) 26.28 25.17 N/A Chart
VXX (VIX Volatility Index ETN) 57.34 56.06 N/A Chart
SKF (Ultrashort Financials) 28.01 26.20 N/A Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

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