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Monday, June 15, 2009

Update 06/16/09

The two weeks of coiling ended in range expansion to the downside today, and we had the lowest close on the S&P this month. Perhaps the slowed momentum, lack of volume and breadth, and negative divergences on practically every oscillator has finally caught up with the market. I'm sure we'll find out soon.

We sold SSO and SPAR for profits, and TIE for a small loss at a price a bit less than the sell-stop (since it opened below that level). We also bought DUG and QID.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Add'l Exit Guideline Chart
DUG 16.54 16.48 -0.4% 14.99 N/A Chart
FITB 7.42 7.57 +2.0% 7.47 N/A Chart
SCC 61.84 63.88 +3.3% 58.27 N/A Chart
QID 32.81 33.15 +1.0% 30.85 N/A Chart


No new ideas for tomorrow. Whether we're going up or down, I'd like to see some consolidation before entering new positions. Not really part of this system, but if you're short-biased, QID and DUG on a pullback to their gaps might work as an entry, risking to the sell-stop. (QID around 32.20 and 31.60 and DUG around 16 and 15.50.) Don't risk as much as you would normally since this isn't buying on a breakout.

Addendum The prices in the prior paragraph for QID & DUG (namely, 32.20 & 31.60 for QID, and 16 & 15.50 for DUG) are two potential buy prices, as both charts have open gaps at their respective prices. Whichever price(s) that you choose, the idea is to risk to the sell-stop in the Current Holdings table (30.85 for QID and 14.99 for DUG). Thanks to George for pointing out that what I wrote above doesn't make that much sense!

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