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Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Trade Ideas for 08/26/09

Hard to be too bullish looking at today's chart. This week has consisted of two consecutive dojis, both of which resemble gravestone dojis. The last time the chart looked like this was back in January:

Certainly the market has exhibited behavior consistent with turning points. Buy the dip, the investing paradigm of the past 4-5 months, worked less effectively these past two days, as each time the market gave back its gains quickly. Should the market reverse from here, one couldn't say it didn't give fair warning. However, the drop from today's high was stopped in fairly short order, indicating that there are buyers willing and able to defend support levels. Until those levels are breached, the bulls have the upper hand.

In another indication that the uptrend may be in trouble, we bought VXX today, and on impressive strength it closed near its high. VXX has been trending inversely with the market, so this is unusual.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Addl Exit Guideline Chart
GS 160.91 164.94 +2.5% 162.59 N/A Chart
FXP 10.04 10.25 +2.1% 9.65 N/A Chart
SRZ 2.19 2.15 -1.8% 1.98 N/A Chart
PAL 2.97 2.87 -3.4% 2.81 N/A Chart
VXX 57.34 58.26 +1.6% 56.06 N/A Chart


I'm carrying forward yesterday's shorts, but also throwing in a couple of longs that have decent-looking charts.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
SRS (Ultrashort Real Estate) 11.94 11.37 N/A Chart
QID (Ultrashort QQQQ) 25.79 24.94 N/A Chart
SKF (Ultrashort Financials) 27.76 26.31 N/A Chart
REG (Regency Realty) 33.66 32.14 N/A Chart
GDX (Gold Miners ETF) 40.01 38.99 38.78 Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

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