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Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Trade Ideas for 08/27/09

Another day, another doji. But instead of a gravestone, we got a regular doji, and where it's positioned portends higher prices in the coming sessions. The chart has started to take shape, and it shows four waves up from last Monday.

Since the third wave of this impulse extended, there's little chance of the fifth wave doing the same. Nevertheless, new highs look probable, even if they end up being marginal. Furthermore, new highs may be sold immediately, like Monday's and Tuesday's. Since this is the fifth wave up, with little chance of extension, that's something we should consider doing also.

We were stopped out of PAL and into QID today.

Current Holdings
Ticker Basis Closing
Price
Perf. Sell-Stop Addl Exit Guideline Chart
GS 160.91 165.95 +3.1% 162.59 Consider selling partial positions into strength on new recovery highs in the S&P Chart
FXP 10.04 10.39 +3.5% 9.65 N/A Chart
SRZ 2.19 2.14 -2.3% 1.98 N/A Chart
QID 25.79 25.51 -1.1% 24.94 N/A Chart
VXX 57.34 58.95 +2.8% 56.06 N/A Chart


Playing new longs seems a bit dangerous right now, but some charts look OK. BGU is day-only; sell by the close.

New Trade Ideas
Ticker Entry Exit A Exit C Chart
CPF (Central Pacific Financial) 3.38 3.09 N/A Chart
REG (Regency Realty) 33.27 32.42 N/A Chart
SEED (Origin Agritech) 5.12 4.81 N/A Chart
BGU (Large Cap Bull 3x) 47.57 45.99 N/A Chart
SKF (Ultrashort Financials) 27.76 26.72 26.31 Chart
SRS (Ultrashort Real Estate) 11.94 11.37 N/A Chart

Please refer to "How To Trade The Ideas" (right-hand side) to read this table.

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